Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pachuca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60