Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Pachuca W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40