GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Monterrey W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey W hold a 59.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa WWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Monterrey WWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Necaxa WMonterrey W
16.7Attack83.3
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
26.7Power86.5
1.36xG2.04
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