GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/29/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Monterrey W are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey W hold a 59.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa WDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Monterrey WDWDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Necaxa WMonterrey W
16.7Attack83.3
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
26.7Power86.5
1.36xG2.04
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