GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 4/22/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mazatlán W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 19.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Necaxa W

Probability

72.6%

Model confidence

72.6%

Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa WLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mazatlán WLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Necaxa WMazatlán W
16.7Attack31.4
50.0Defence0.0
0.0Form14.7
26.7Power19.6
2.83xG0.93
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