Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
León W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while León W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while León W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
León W
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
León W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60