Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
León W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while León W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while León W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
León W
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
León W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60