Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Juárez W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Juárez W hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40