Necaxa Wvs
Cruz Azul W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/4/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa W 0-2 Cruz Azul W
Original prediction
Cruz Azul W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19.34 | 4.7% | 20.6% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 9.99 | 9.2% | 17.4% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 86.1% | 62.0% | -24.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul W
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Cruz Azul W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 21 · avg 0.20/4.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20