GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/4/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cruz Azul W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul W hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Necaxa W

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa WLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cruz Azul WWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Necaxa WCruz Azul W
16.7Attack66.7
50.0Defence0.0
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power43.3
1.90xG1.82
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