GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 5/3/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Atlético San Luis W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético San Luis W hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Necaxa W

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa WLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético San Luis WDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Necaxa WAtlético San Luis W
16.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power42.7
1.77xG1.67
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