Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Atlas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80