Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlas W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80