Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Atlas W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80