Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa 1-2 Leon
Original prediction
Necaxa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Necaxa
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Necaxa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NecaxaWLLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LeonWWWWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NecaxaLeon
55.6Attack33.3
44.4Defence55.6
66.7Form33.3
58.8Power43.7
1.64xG1.17