Necaxa U21vs
Puebla U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puebla U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Necaxa U21 0-0 Puebla U21, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa U21 0-2 Puebla U21
Original prediction
Puebla U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.0% | 29.9% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 30.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.0% | 39.1% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Necaxa U21 0–0 Puebla U21
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Puebla U21
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Puebla U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Necaxa U21DWWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Puebla U21DDWDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Necaxa U21Puebla U21
28.6Attack33.3
57.1Defence83.3
42.9Form55.6
45.8Power59.9
0.69xG0.95