Necaxa U21vs
Juarez U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Necaxa U21 0-0 Juarez U21, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa U21 2-3 Juarez U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 34.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.1% | 33.9% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.1% | 31.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Necaxa U21 0–0 Juarez U21
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Necaxa U21DLWWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Juarez U21LWWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Necaxa U21Juarez U21
28.2Attack23.1
59.0Defence66.7
41.0Form35.9
45.7Power44.8
0.61xG0.57