Necaxa U21vs
Cruz Azul U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa U21 2-1 Cruz Azul U21
Original prediction
Cruz Azul U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.9% | 31.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 28.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.6% | 39.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul U21
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Cruz Azul U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20