GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruz Azul U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Necaxa U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cruz Azul U21 are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul U21 hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga MX U21, while Cruz Azul U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruz Azul U21

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

14.2%

Cruz Azul U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa U21LLDLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cruz Azul U21DDDWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Necaxa U21Cruz Azul U21
11.1Attack44.4
33.3Defence55.6
11.1Form33.3
23.1Power48.3
1.03xG1.34
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