Necaxa U21vs
Club America U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club America U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa U21 1-0 Club America U21
Original prediction
Club America U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.7% | 24.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.3% | 26.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.0% | 49.0% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Club America U21
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Club America U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40