Necaxa U21vs
Atlas U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Necaxa U21 0-0 Atlas U21, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Necaxa U21 1-2 Atlas U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.9% | 33.7% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 31.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.7% | 35.2% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Necaxa U21 0–0 Atlas U21
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Necaxa U21WWLLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atlas U21LDLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Necaxa U21Atlas U21
30.3Attack39.4
57.6Defence63.6
45.5Form36.4
47.4Power46.7
0.71xG0.91