NEC Nijmegenvs
GO Ahead Eagles
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/20/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NEC Nijmegen 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles
Original prediction
GO Ahead Eagles
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 46.0% | 36.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 24.0% | 21.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 30.0% | 41.9% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
GO Ahead Eagles
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40