NEC Nijmegenvs
Feyenoord
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NEC Nijmegen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord
Original prediction
NEC Nijmegen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 33.6% | 42.6% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.7% | 25.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 42.7% | 32.2% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
NEC Nijmegen
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
NEC Nijmegen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40