NEC Nijmegenvs
Excelsior
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
NEC Nijmegen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Excelsior are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and excelsior hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eredivisie, favouring Excelsior with 11.8% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Excelsior
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
11.8%
Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00