GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NEC Nijmegen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

NEC Nijmegen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bodo/Glimt are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.8 against 64.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the UEFA Champions League, while NEC Nijmegen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NEC Nijmegen

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

11.9%

NEC Nijmegen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NEC NijmegenWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bodo/GlimtWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
NEC NijmegenBodo/Glimt
33.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence16.7
66.7Form66.7
64.8Power64.8
1.69xG1.41
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