Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nebitci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nebitci are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merw are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nebitci hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 27.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Ýokary Liga, while Nebitci holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nebitci
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Nebitci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40