Nea Salamisvs
Pafos
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nea Salamis 0-0 Pafos
Original prediction
Pafos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.91 | 18.7% | 25.6% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.0% | 24.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 57.3% | 50.1% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nea SalamisLWLWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
PafosDDLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nea SalamisPafos
61.1Attack38.9
16.7Defence83.3
22.2Form61.1
34.6Power61.8
1.17xG1.71