GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 1. Division · 8/27/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Apollon Limassol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nea Salamis are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Apollon Limassol are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Apollon Limassol hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the 1. Division, while Apollon Limassol holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Apollon Limassol

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Apollon Limassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nea SalamisLWLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.75/3.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Apollon LimassolDLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Nea SalamisApollon Limassol
43.3Attack53.3
49.2Defence68.3
42.5Form55.0
46.4Power58.8
0.85xG1.54
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