Nea Salamisvs
Anorthosis
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nea Salamis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nea Salamis 3-0 Anorthosis
Original prediction
Nea Salamis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.6% | 39.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.7% | 32.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Nea Salamis
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Nea Salamis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20