NC Magravs
US Chaouia
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NC Magra 1-0 US Chaouia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 32.5% | 36.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.1% | 30.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.4% | 33.7% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NC MagraDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
US ChaouiaDW
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
NC MagraUS Chaouia
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24