Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NC Magra 0-0 CA Batna
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.1% | 36.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.2% | 31.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 37.7% | 32.0% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.86 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NC MagraWWLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CA BatnaLLDDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NC MagraCA Batna
33.3Attack22.2
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form11.1
55.1Power32.9
1.22xG0.82