Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Navbahor 1-1 Lokomotiv
Original prediction
Navbahor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.9% | 54.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 24.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.57 | 19.9% | 21.3% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NavbahorWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LokomotivWWLWL
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NavbahorLokomotiv
54.4Attack56.1
70.2Defence54.4
64.9Form54.4
64.5Power56.4
1.63xG0.89