Navbahorvs
Dinamo Samarqand
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Navbahor 3-2 Dinamo Samarqand
Original prediction
Navbahor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.2% | 64.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.6% | 20.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 6.41 | 14.2% | 14.6% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80