Nautico U20vs
Sergipe U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nautico U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nautico U20 6-2 Sergipe U20
Original prediction
Nautico U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.0% | 49.7% | -19.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.7% | 23.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 7.28 | 12.3% | 26.5% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Nautico U20
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Nautico U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50