Nautico U20vs
Operário PR U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nautico U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nautico U20 2-3 Operário PR U20
Original prediction
Nautico U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.5% | 41.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.4% | 24.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.2% | 34.3% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Nautico U20
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Nautico U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40