Nautico Recifevs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nautico Recife 0-0 Sport Recife, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nautico Recife 3-1 Sport Recife
Original prediction
Sport Recife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.2% | 32.7% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.1% | 29.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.7% | 38.0% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Nautico Recife 0–0 Sport Recife
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40