GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/6/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Recife are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sao Jose are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Recife hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico RecifeLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sao JoseDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Nautico RecifeSao Jose
40.0Attack46.7
82.7Defence62.7
58.7Form49.3
61.3Power54.5
0.98xG0.59
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