GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nautico Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Recife are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ponte Preta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Recife hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 28.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Serie B, while Nautico Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nautico Recife

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

17.8%

Nautico Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico RecifeWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte PretaDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nautico RecifePonte Preta
39.7Attack23.8
60.3Defence34.9
41.3Form14.3
48.1Power28.1
1.77xG0.49
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