Nautico Recifevs
Operario-PR
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nautico Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nautico Recife 0-0 Operario-PR, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nautico Recife 3-3 Operario-PR
Original prediction
Nautico Recife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 49.8% | 41.5% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.9% | 28.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 22.2% | 29.9% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Projected Score
Nautico Recife 0–0 Operario-PR
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Nautico Recife
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Nautico Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60