Nautico Recifevs
Novorizontino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nautico Recife 0-1 Novorizontino, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nautico Recife 0-2 Novorizontino
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.29 | 21.7% | 22.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.5% | 27.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 52.8% | 50.2% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Nautico Recife 0–1 Novorizontino
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80