Serie BSerie B
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:08
Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife

Home
LL
01
Full time
Goias

Goias

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Nautico Recife(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Goias
Win probability
Nautico Recife
44%
Draw
29%
Goias
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nautico Recife
18
Goias
73
Defence
Nautico Recife
27
Goias
66
Momentum
Nautico Recife
0
Goias
67
Danger (xG)
Nautico Recife
0.95
Goias
1.34
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Nautico Recife)
0.95
avg per match
xG for (Goias)
1.34
avg per match
xG against (Nautico Recife)
1.94
avg per match
xG against (Goias)
0.88
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
LLLLW
GoiasGoias
DWWLL

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Nautico Recife44%
Draw29%
Goias27%

Nautico Recife leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nautico Recife head into this in Serie B fixture in mixed form (LL), while Goias arrive in mixed form (DW). Nautico Recife have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Goias over 2 games.

Tactically, Goias hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Nautico Recife defence (27/100), while Nautico Recife's attack faces a solid Goias backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Nautico Recife have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Goias have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Nautico Recife have generated 1.01 xG per game recently while conceding 2.08 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Goias have generated 0.89 xG per game recently while conceding 1.75 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Goias have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Nautico Recife to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Nautico Recife 4420%, Draw 2860%, Goias 2720%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Nautico Recife 0Draws 01 Goias
Avg goals: 1.0
28 Jun 2026
Nautico Recife
L01
Goias

Recent form

Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife

L
@ CRB
17 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Avai
12 Jul 2026
02
xG 1.0
L
vs Goias
28 Jun 2026
01
L
@ Vila Nova
20 Jun 2026
34
W
@ Operario-PR
16 May 2026
31
Goias

Goias

D
@ CRB
12 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.9
W
vs Ceara
5 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Nautico Recife
28 Jun 2026
10
L
vs Operario-PR
21 Jun 2026
03
L
@ Cruzeiro
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nautico Recife vs Goias?

GoalVio's model predicts Nautico Recife to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Goias?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Nautico Recife vs Goias?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nautico Recife vs Goias?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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