Nautico Recifevs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nautico Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nautico Recife 0-0 Botafogo SP, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nautico Recife 1-0 Botafogo SP
Original prediction
Nautico Recife
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.2% | 42.0% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.8% | 30.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 23.0% | 27.7% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Nautico Recife 0–0 Botafogo SP
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Nautico Recife
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Nautico Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40