GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/29/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico HacoajSAT Moreno
33.3Attack50.0
84.8Defence86.7
54.5Form80.0
58.9Power72.9
0.49xG0.69
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