GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nautico Hacoaj · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Nautico Hacoaj holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nautico Hacoaj

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

69.2%

Nautico Hacoaj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajDWWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajProvincial
33.3Attack23.3
84.8Defence26.7
54.5Form23.3
58.9Power26.7
1.69xG0.29
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