GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/24/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nautico Hacoaj · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Juventud de Bernal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 18.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Nautico Hacoaj holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nautico Hacoaj

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

70.4%

Nautico Hacoaj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajDDLLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud de BernalWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico HacoajJuventud de Bernal
33.3Attack20.0
84.8Defence6.7
54.5Form13.3
58.9Power18.4
1.73xG0.28
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