GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/13/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajDWWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajEverton La Plata
33.3Attack16.7
84.8Defence69.4
54.5Form25.0
58.9Power40.0
0.69xG0.30
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