GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/30/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella Del SurWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajEstrella Del Sur
33.3Attack51.9
84.8Defence76.5
54.5Form71.6
58.9Power67.7
0.50xG0.70
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