GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/16/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoDDDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico HacoajDeportivo Metalurgico
33.3Attack57.6
84.8Defence78.8
54.5Form75.8
58.9Power70.3
0.49xG0.79
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