GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 10/13/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico HacoajLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoDDLLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajDeportivo Metalurgico
33.3Attack57.6
84.8Defence78.8
54.5Form75.8
58.9Power70.3
0.49xG0.79
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