National Defensevs
Phnom Penh Crown
COMPLETEDCambodia · C-League · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phnom Penh Crown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
National Defense 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown
Original prediction
Phnom Penh Crown
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.00 | 7.1% | 24.1% | 17.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.50 | 9.7% | 20.7% | 11.0 pts |
| Away | 1.11 | 83.2% | 55.1% | -28.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Phnom Penh Crown
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Phnom Penh Crown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 27 · avg 1.00/5.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40