National Defensevs
NagaWorld
COMPLETEDCambodia · C-League · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NagaWorld · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
National Defense 4-5 NagaWorld
Original prediction
NagaWorld
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25.67 | 3.5% | 22.6% | 19.1 pts |
| Draw | 8.85 | 10.3% | 21.5% | 11.2 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 86.2% | 55.9% | -30.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
NagaWorld
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
NagaWorld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 24 · avg 0.20/4.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40